Helmut Schiffner

20.10.2009

PS: In der Vergangenheit sind nach Angaben von Herrn Opaschowski 85% seiner Prognosen wie vorhergesagt eingetreten.

Literaturhinweise:
Herr Opaschowski hat zu diesen Themen 2 aktuelle Bücher veröffentlicht:

"Wohlstand neu denken" - Wie die nächste Generation leben wird
"Das Mosesprinzip" - Die 10 Gebote des 21. Jahrhunderts

Memory record of a conference of BAYME on 23rd September 2009 in Coburg

Mega trends for the next 20 years according to Horst W. Opaschowski

(http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horst_W._Opaschowski)

Globalisation of working environment but also aspects of “glocalisation”, due to local circumstances, will increase. Local networks will become more and more important again (annotation of the author: “All business is local.”). Incidental remark of the assistant: “Half of employees earn double and work triple” or “Less people work more and more!” - Within the next 20 years every second employee won’t have a full-time job anymore. Balance Ethics Life balance Performance and enjoyment of life Youth’s commitment to performance continues to rise Everybody is his or her own (life-)manager Enthusiasm Renaissance of family Constancy and reliability are demanded Number of divorces will decrease The willingness for marriage and the indepence of women will increase, whereas men will tend to “slowdown”. Men stay in their domestic environment for a very long time (so-called “Mamonis” in Italy) Working environment will be controlled by women more female high potentials more women in leading positions intensified role reversal > Who is “earned” head of family? Valediction of patriarchy > Example: Shanghai is female – more than half of managers are female. Restart with 50 Sustainability before short-term employment Aging staff (> increasing number of children isn’t relevant for the moment) The age of 50 will not be understood as a preparation for “being shelved” but as a phase for a total reorientation. New things will be tackled again. Comeback with 65 The “real” age starts with 72 (current survey result!) Youth mania seems to come to an end. 73% of employees are already prepared to work for a longer period (interpretation of author: Could that be the reason for the lack of support by the “basis” for protesting against retirement pension starting at the age of 67?) Elective affinities or “Social Convoys” “Flexible families” Extended family understanding As less nursing homes as possible > Ambulant nursing staff is accepted > Nursing homes are not desired. > “Service living”, “Olds” rent a villa at the outskirts and engage nursing staff themselves instead of renting a room in a nursery home. Health orientation as a future religion Fitness turns into wellness Watch out for “well stress”! Sustainable prosperity Better leading a good life instead of owning much Better being happy than rich Which way can prosperity be determined? Mr O. queries growth as the relevant figure for calculation and says: We use the wrong indexes! Gross national product or gross national luck? But he also says: “More and more people can afford less and less.” Longing for the meaning There is a longing for the “Why”! There is a longing for money. People in transition zone between misery and wealth feel best!

Helmut Schiffner

20.11.2009

PS: According to Mr Opaschowski, 85% of his predictions really happened in the past.

Literature will soon be available on http://www.datex-perfekt.de/datex1/index.php?site=news

Bibliography:

Mr. Opaschowski puplished 2 books referring to these current subjects:

“Wohlstand neu denken – Wie die nächste Generation leben wird.” (Prosperity in a new way – how the next generation will live).

“Das Mosesprinzip” – “ Die 10 Gebote des 21. Jahrhunderts“. (Principle of Moses – the 10 commandments of the 21st century).